New York State Gubernatorial — Mock Poll (Illustrative) Field dates (mock): Aug 10–13, 2025 Sample: 1,000 registered voters (RV), mixed phone/SMS-to-web Weighting: Region, gender, age, party ID, race/ethnicity, education, 2022 vote recall MOE: ±3.1% (RV) Turnout model: 2022 general baseline with modest GOP improvement in suburbs Topline — 3‑Way Ballot (RV) • Kathy Hochul (D) — 46% • Elise Stefanik (R) — 32% • Jason S. Arnold (I/Other) — 9% • Someone else — 3% • Undecided — 10% Read: Mirrors typical D advantage statewide, Stefanik trails by low‑ to mid‑teens; Arnold shows early viability as the only candidate running a fully transparent plan. Head‑to‑Head Scenarios (RV) Hochul vs. Stefanik • Hochul 48% • Stefanik 35% • Undecided 17% Hochul vs. Jason S. Arnold • Hochul 44% • Arnold 38% • Undecided 18% Read: Arnold consolidates more independents and soft Democrats than Stefanik can, cutting the margin to single digits. Region (3‑Way Ballot) • NYC (approx. 31% of sample): Hochul 67 | Stefanik 15 | Arnold 6 | Und 9 • Downstate Suburbs (LI/Westchester/Rockland, 28%): Hochul 44 | Stefanik 36 | Arnold 11 | Und 7 • Upstate (41%): Stefanik 44 | Hochul 33 | Arnold 11 | Und 9 Read: Arnold’s 10–11% in suburbs & upstate is a credible early lane; growth path is independents + moderate Republicans + anti‑status‑quo Dems. Party & Independents (3‑Way Ballot) • Democrats: Hochul 77 | Arnold 8 | Stefanik 7 | Und 6 • Republicans: Stefanik 70 | Arnold 13 | Hochul 10 | Und 6 • Independents: Arnold 28 | Hochul 34 | Stefanik 24 | Und 12 Read: Arnold leads or competes for plurality among independents, the key to statewide viability. Favorability (Fav/Unfav/Don’t know) • Hochul: 45 / 49 / 6 • Stefanik: 33 / 52 / 15 • Jason S. Arnold: 24 / 16 / 60 Read: Arnold’s low negatives + high unknowns = big upside with name‑ID growth. Top Issues (open-coded → grouped) • Cost of living/inflation: 34% • Crime/public safety: 18% • Housing/affordability: 15% • Taxes: 12% • Migration/services capacity: 9% • Transit/infrastructure: 6% • Other: 6% Issue Ownership (net trust) • Cost of living: Arnold +3 vs Hochul, Arnold +9 vs Stefanik • Crime: Arnold +5 vs Hochul, Stefanik +2 vs Hochul • Housing: Arnold +4 vs Hochul, Arnold +7 vs Stefanik Read: The “full‑plan transparency” message gives Arnold an issues credibility edge—especially on daily-life economics & housing. Message Tests (net more likely – less likely) • “Full transparency: every policy & Day‑One orders published now.” +23 • “Coney Island 2.0: tourism/jobs engine (Vegas+AC without the rot).” +14 (Downstate suburbs +19) • “Whistleblower/transparency on waste, fraud, and no‑show work.” +18 • “Education SEZ/LEZ: local control, measurable outcomes.” +12 • “Mental Health First Act & first‑responder supports.” +11 ⸻ Crosstab Highlights (selected) • Women (RV): Hochul +17 vs Stefanik; Hochul +6 vs Arnold • Men (RV): Hochul +4 vs Stefanik; Arnold +2 vs Hochul (independents drive this) • Hispanic voters: Hochul +25 vs Stefanik; Hochul +11 vs Arnold (Arnold competitive on cost-of-living frame) • Black voters: Hochul dominant; Arnold overperforms Stefanik on favorables by ~6 pts (low name ID = room to grow) • White non‑college: Stefanik leads Hochul by 6; Arnold within 4 of Stefanik with “work, wages, housing” message • Voters rating economy “poor”: Arnold 31 | Hochul 30 | Stefanik 28 (3‑way) — transparency + concrete fixes resonate ⸻ Questionnaire (12 items, neutral wording) 1. Reg voter screen (self‑reported) 2. Party ID & 2022 vote recall 3. Fav/Unfav: Hochul, Stefanik, Jason S. Arnold 4. Most important issue (open) 5. Head‑to‑head: Hochul vs Stefanik 6. Head‑to‑head: Hochul vs Jason S. Arnold 7. 3‑way ballot: Hochul / Stefanik / Jason S. Arnold / someone else / undecided 8. Confidence in each candidate to improve cost of living (0–10 scale) 9. Confidence to improve public safety (0–10) 10. Message test A (full transparency/Day‑One orders) — more/less likely/ no diff 11. Message test B (Coney Island 2.0 jobs/tourism plan) — more/less likely/ no diff 12. Demographics: age, gender, education, region, race/ethnicity, HH income

Why Elise Stefanik Can’t Win New York in 2026 — And Why JSA2026 Is the Alternative Conservatives Deserve By Jason S. Arnold, Candidate for Governor of New York (JSA2026) 📞 (516) 586-0660 | 🌐 jsa2026.com | 💬 BETTR.community ⸻ Elise Stefanik is a rising star in national Republican politics — but when it comes to winning the 2026 governor’s race in New York, she’s not the candidate who can get it done. I say this with respect for everything she’s accomplished in Congress. But New York is not Washington, and voters here need a candidate who understands this state from the ground up — not from the top down. That’s why I’m running. My name is Jason S. Arnold, founder of BETTR, host of TurnNYRed.us, and candidate for Governor of New York in 2026 under the JSA2026 campaign. ⸻ 📉 The Math Doesn’t Add Up for Elise Stefanik Stefanik’s supporters say she can flip New York red. The numbers disagree: • New York hasn’t elected a Republican governor since George Pataki in 2002. • Elise Stefanik’s district (NY-21) represents under 2% of the state’s population. • Her statewide favorability among independents is below 30% according to recent Siena and Quinnipiac polling. • Downstate counties (NYC, Long Island, Westchester) account for 70%+ of the total vote — areas where she has no organizational base. Even in the red wave year of 2022, Republicans lost by nearly 350,000 votes statewide, despite strong turnout. We cannot run the same kind of candidate and expect different results. ⸻ 🎭 The Disconnect: Harvard Polishing vs. New York Grit Elise Stefanik went to Harvard, launched her career in the Bush White House, and has been in politics since her 20s. Again, no shame in that. But let’s be honest: You don’t go to Harvard today to become wise — you go to become managed. Stefanik talks about fighting for working-class New Yorkers, but she’s never lived in their neighborhoods. She’s never waited on line at the rent office. She’s never had to navigate broken public housing, underfunded schools, or family court hell. ⸻ 🏙️ Where I’ve Lived — The Real New York Since arriving in New York in 2002, I’ve lived in: • Manhattan: Chelsea, Times Square, Lower East Side, Spanish Harlem, Washington Heights • The Bronx: Hoe Avenue • Brooklyn: Bushwick, Sunset Park, Brooklyn Heights • Queens: Bellerose • Long Island: Franklin Square and Bethpage • Upstate: Rochester (Ninth Ward, Ridgeway, Garfield & Chilay) That’s over 20 years across every region of New York — living, working, surviving, and building. Not just polling and posting. “When you walk into a room and someone’s wearing too much perfume, you smell it — even if nobody else does. That’s me in New York. I see the things others have gone nose-blind to.” ⸻ ❌ Stefanik’s Record: Talking Points vs. Results Stefanik often campaigns as a fiscal conservative and civil libertarian, but her record doesn’t always match: • ✅ Voted for expanded FISA surveillance powers • ✅ Supported $100B+ in Ukraine aid while New York cities struggle • ✅ Backed massive COVID spending with no accountability • ❌ Never introduced a bill to fix NY schools • ❌ No action on NY property tax relief • ❌ No real plan to protect New Yorkers from federal mandates (CBDCs, digital IDs, lockdowns) ⸻ ✅ What I Stand For – The JSA2026 Platform I’m not backed by PACs. I’m backed by the people. My campaign policies include: • SEZ & LEZ education reform zones – putting parents back in charge • End property taxes on fully paid-off homes • New York Liberty & Survival Act – banning CBDCs, protecting food and water access, restoring local economic freedom • Universal emergency care access – no one denied help, no Medicaid trap • Family court reform – end corruption, restore balance • State anti-censorship shield law – protect speech in New York even if D.C. won’t These aren’t slogans — they’re legislative blueprints. ⸻ 🗳️ 2026 Is Too Important for a Safe Bet Elise Stefanik will be painted as a D.C. career politician no matter how much red she wears on stage. We’ve seen this movie before — and it ends in a blowout loss. JSA2026 offers something else: • Raw truth • Real-world experience • A fighter’s heart • A builder’s vision We can’t run someone who’s polling well inside party circles but collapsing statewide. We need a candidate who grew through the struggle — not someone who read about it in talking points. ⸻ 💬 Final Word I love New York. I’ve lived it. I’ve nearly died in it. And I’ve come back to fight for it. “I’m not a good candidate — I’m the right one.” – Jason S. Arnold, JSA2026 ⸻ 📞 Contact the campaign: (516) 586-0660 🌐 Website: https://jsa2026.com 💬 Community: https://bettr.community 📢 Follow hashtag: #JSA2026 #TurnNYRed #BETTR #NYGovernor2026 ⸻ 🔑 Keywords (for indexing) • Elise Stefanik 2026 • Can Stefanik win New York? • Jason S. Arnold • JSA2026 campaign • New York Governor race • Conservative alternative New York • Long Island conservative candidate • Upstate vs downstate Republican • New York election 2026 • BETTR platform Jason Arnold • TurnNYRed podcast • Stefanik policy record • Who can flip New York red? • Anti-censorship candidate NY • Family court reform NY • School empowerment zones NY • Property tax reform NY https://jsa2026.com/jsa2026-full-vision-post-what-well-do-for-life-in-new-york/

🛑 Federal Court Blocks Trump from Dismantling the Department of Education—For Now A major legal blow was delivered today as a federal court ruled that President Trump cannot proceed with his plan to gut the U.S. Department of Education, temporarily halting his long-promised move to restore state and local control over schools. The decision comes as part of a lawsuit filed by progressive legal groups, who argue that Trump’s proposed executive orders and funding freezes violate federal statutes and constitutional guarantees to “equal access.” ⚖️ What the Court Ruled: Trump’s executive action "exceeds statutory authority" under the current Department of Education Organization Act. The Court warned that removing federal oversight could disrupt funding pipelines tied to Title I, IDEA, and Pell Grants. The judge emphasized that dismantling the agency would require congressional approval, not unilateral executive order. 🎯 BETTR Breakdown: This isn’t about legality—it’s about preserving federal power over your kids. 📚 Washington wants to decide what your children learn. 🏛️ Unelected bureaucrats want to override your school board. 💰 They want to keep collecting tax dollars while delivering failing results. 🔥 JSA2026 Response: As Governor of New York, I will implement SEZs (School Empowerment Zones) and LEZs (Local Education Zones) to take back control of our classrooms—court or no court. If the federal government won’t let go, we will build better around it. Enough with delays. Enough with gatekeepers. Enough with indoctrination disguised as education. 📲 Join the fight for local control and real reform: https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2025/06/04/trump-us-education-department-court-rules/84036272007/ #EducationReform #EndDOE #JSA2026 #TurnNYRed #BETTR #SEZ #SchoolChoice #StatesRights #ParentalRights #NoMoreFederalOverreach

🧨 DAY-F*CKING-ONE EXECUTIVE ORDER LIST Jason S. Arnold | JSA2026 This ain’t a debate. It’s a warning. Day one—I’m walking in with the pen loaded. Here’s what gets done before the coffee even cools: 🚫 IMMEDIATE SHUTDOWNS & TERMINATIONS ❌ Safe Injection Sites – Banned. ❌ Needle Exchange Programs – Shut down. ❌ All "Harm Reduction" that enables crime – Defunded. ❌ Nonprofit pipelines enabling criminal activity – Contracts terminated. ❌ Housing First Programs for active addicts – Frozen pending full audit. ❌ Restorative Justice pilot programs – Abolished. ❌ State-funded drug paraphernalia distribution – Prohibited. ❌ "Community Violence Interrupters" with no results – Disbanded. ❌ Parole loopholes for violent repeat offenders – Closed. ❌ No more Safe Junkie Zones. None. 🧹 STATE AGENCY REFORM & CLEANUP 🔁 Full freeze on new DEI hires – until we audit the corruption. 🗂️ Dismantle NY Department of Education bureaucracy – SEZ/LEZ transition begins. 🧯 End sanctuary policies in all state-funded institutions. 🚷 Ban foreign citizens from state-funded benefits, pending legal review. 🚨 Immediate audit of CPS and family court systems – including judge oversight. 📉 Suspend all state advertising subsidies to media outlets – cut the propaganda. ⚖️ CRIME, COURTS, AND LAW ENFORCEMENT 🪪 Issue statewide order ending plea deals for crimes against women or children. 👮 Empower county sheriffs to enforce border violations under civil trespass law. 🔍 Launch NYS prosecutor misconduct review panel – investigate past railroading. 🚨 Declare fentanyl a weapon of mass destruction under NY crisis law. 💰 ECONOMY, TAXES, & REVENUE 💸 Issue moratorium on all property seizures over tax debt – especially for elders. 🏘️ Ban new property taxes on paid-off homes. 🧾 Force audit of all state contractors receiving over $1 million/year. 🛑 Suspend new toll increases pending review of MTA & DOT corruption. 🧠 EDUCATION & YOUTH PROTECTION 📚 Ban gender ideology and CRT in all K–12 public schools – immediate action. 🧑‍🏫 Suspend all public school DEI compliance offices. 🏫 Begin statewide rollout of School Empowerment Zones (SEZs). 🛡️ Issue Executive Order establishing Parent First Rights Doctrine. 🚫 Block new funding to SUNY/CUNY campuses that refuse free speech protection. 🧱 SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE & BORDERS 🇺🇸 Suspend all migrant housing subsidies pending investigation. 🚧 Declare NY a border-state-in-crisis for federal leverage. 🏘️ Prohibit state-funded shelters from housing non-citizens ahead of citizens. 📢 CIVIL RIGHTS & PUBLIC ACCOUNTABILITY 🔒 Ban social media censorship contracts with NY agencies. 🧾 Declassify state communication with private platforms (GETTR, X, etc.). 📡 Launch public NY Transparency Portal showing budget, spending, and all deals. 🧿 Launch state-level anti-defamation and libel shield for wrongly accused citizens. 🔥 AND LASTLY… "If your paycheck depends on keeping New York broken— You’re out. Fired. Day One." 📍 Campaign HQ: https://jsa2026.com 📞 (516) 586-0660 🗳️ Jason S. Arnold for Governor “I’m not a good candidate. I’m the right one.” #JSA2026 #DayOneOrders #FixNewYork #TheRightOne #NoSafeJunkies #NoSoftCrime #CommonwealthPower

🏛️ JSA2026 Budget Reform Plan: Fixing What Albany Broke ObjectiveTo expose the failures of Governor Hochul's FY2026 budget and present a bold, fiscally grounded, people-first alternative that reflects the values of a real commonwealth. This post outlines where the current proposal falls short and how JSA2026 will build a state budget that actually works for working New Yorkers. 🔍 What’s Wrong with Hochul’s FY2026 Budget Outyear Budget Gaps IgnoredProjected deficits rise from $6.5B (FY27) to $11B (FY29) — and Hochul offers no structural fixes. One-Time Inflation Refund Gimmicks$3B in short-term refunds, no plan to combat rising costs at the root. Medicaid Is Ballooning, No ReformsMedicaid exceeds $105B — no cost caps, no efficiency incentives, no fraud crackdown. Still Dependent on High-Income Tax ExtensionsAlbany banking on wealthy residents staying in NY while raising their taxes to cover middle-class relief. Overreliance on Reserves & PTET Timing TricksKicking the can with budget rollovers and temporary credits instead of confronting the revenue gap. Acknowledges Risks, But Takes No ActionInflation, labor shortages, tariffs, immigration, and climate costs are all admitted in the forecast — but there’s no budgetary response. Commercial Real Estate Collapse Not AddressedOffice vacancy and real estate defaults threaten NYC’s tax base, but the state offers no backup plan. No Adjustments to Population Loss or Labor DeclineWorkforce growth expected to fall to 0.7%. No plan to retain or attract talent. ✅ The JSA2026 Budget Plan: Real Fixes, Not Fantasy 1. Freeze and Phase Down Top-End Spending Growth• Cap Medicaid increases at 3% per year unless offset by fraud recovery or managed care performance. • Pause automatic education aid hikes in districts with shrinking enrollment. 2. Redirect Refund Gimmicks Into Permanent Cost Relief• End inflation refund giveaways. • Replace with permanent utility tax rollback and fuel fee cap. 3. Tax Reform That Rewards Working Families, Not Budget Loopholes• Phase out PTET gimmick by 2028. • Flatten tax brackets while eliminating carveouts that favor connected industries. 4. Build the Commonwealth Reserve• Codify a 5% revenue holdback into law. • No more “emergency” use of rainy-day funds to cover recurring costs. 5. Launch Operation Efficiency• Department-by-department review to cut administrative overhead by 10% in 3 years. • Consolidate overlapping state agencies. 6. Reclaim Dormant State Assets• Use Operation Ghost Town to lease or repurpose empty jails, unused office buildings, and surplus school properties. • Revenue redirected into housing, mental health, and infrastructure. 7. Empower Local Tax Autonomy Through SEZs & LEZs• Special Empowerment Zones allow localities to raise or lower certain taxes tied to performance. • School Empowerment Zones pilot local education tax control. 8. Create a Budget Risk Dashboard• Real-time public tracker of inflation, labor, real estate defaults, and revenue performance. • Transparency portal so citizens can see risk before it hits their wallets. ⚠️ Why It Matters • NY’s budget shortfall is not theoretical — it’s guaranteed unless we act.• One-time tricks, federal dependence, and political games have made Albany addicted to delay.• Every household will be impacted when debt rises, services collapse, or new taxes are rushed through.• JSA2026 is the only campaign building a pre-emptive, real-world plan — not waiting for crisis to hit. 🔚 Conclusion The FY2026 budget is a glittering shell hiding structural rot. JSA2026 offers the only alternative built on restraint, reality, and results. We don’t need more bailouts — we need a better blueprint. 🗽 I’m not a good candidate. I’m the right one.📍 full 10 vol. plan @ https://jsa2026.com/newsroom/campaign-post/ #JSA2026 #BudgetReform #FixTheGaps #NoMoreGimmicks #FiscalTruth #CommonwealthEconomics #NYDeservesBETTR

🚨 NYC Subway Incident: Police Seek Suspect in Disturbing Case On April 9, 2025, a deeply unsettling incident occurred aboard a southbound R train near Whitehall Street Station in Lower Manhattan. A 37-year-old man, Jorge Gonzalez, who had reportedly died of natural causes, was allegedly robbed and later sexually violated by two separate individuals.   Surveillance footage captured a woman stealing from Gonzalez’s body around 10:48 p.m. Approximately 90 minutes later, a man, identified as 51-year-old Carlos Garcia, was seen engaging in sexual acts with the deceased before fleeing the scene.  Garcia is described as wearing a blue baseball cap, black hooded jacket, yellow hooded sweatshirt, blue jeans, red-and-white sneakers, and carrying a black backpack.  The NYPD urges anyone with information to contact Crime Stoppers at 1-800-577-TIPS (8477) or visit crimestoppers.nypdonline.org.  BETTR Commentary: This harrowing event underscores the urgent need for enhanced safety measures within our public transit system. New Yorkers deserve to commute without fear, and it’s imperative that city officials prioritize the security and well-being of all passengers. ⸻ Stay informed. Stay safe. Stay BETTR. 🔗 Read more on BETTR Newswire #NYCSubway #PublicSafety #SubwayCrime #TurnNYRed #BETTR https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/apr/12/new-york-subway-corpse-sexual-assault