New York State Gubernatorial — Mock Poll (Illustrative)

Field dates (mock): Aug 10–13, 2025
Sample: 1,000 registered voters (RV), mixed phone/SMS-to-web
Weighting: Region, gender, age, party ID, race/ethnicity, education, 2022 vote recall
MOE: ±3.1% (RV)
Turnout model: 2022 general baseline with modest GOP improvement in suburbs

Topline — 3‑Way Ballot (RV)
• Kathy Hochul (D) — 46%
• Elise Stefanik (R) — 32%
• Jason S. Arnold (I/Other) — 9%
• Someone else — 3%
• Undecided — 10%

Read: Mirrors typical D advantage statewide, Stefanik trails by low‑ to mid‑teens; Arnold shows early viability as the only candidate running a fully transparent plan.

Head‑to‑Head Scenarios (RV)

Hochul vs. Stefanik
• Hochul 48%
• Stefanik 35%
• Undecided 17%

Hochul vs. Jason S. Arnold
• Hochul 44%
• Arnold 38%
• Undecided 18%

Read: Arnold consolidates more independents and soft Democrats than Stefanik can, cutting the margin to single digits.

Region (3‑Way Ballot)
• NYC (approx. 31% of sample): Hochul 67 | Stefanik 15 | Arnold 6 | Und 9
• Downstate Suburbs (LI/Westchester/Rockland, 28%): Hochul 44 | Stefanik 36 | Arnold 11 | Und 7
• Upstate (41%): Stefanik 44 | Hochul 33 | Arnold 11 | Und 9

Read: Arnold’s 10–11% in suburbs & upstate is a credible early lane; growth path is independents + moderate Republicans + anti‑status‑quo Dems.

Party & Independents (3‑Way Ballot)
• Democrats: Hochul 77 | Arnold 8 | Stefanik 7 | Und 6
• Republicans: Stefanik 70 | Arnold 13 | Hochul 10 | Und 6
• Independents: Arnold 28 | Hochul 34 | Stefanik 24 | Und 12

Read: Arnold leads or competes for plurality among independents, the key to statewide viability.

Favorability (Fav/Unfav/Don’t know)
• Hochul: 45 / 49 / 6
• Stefanik: 33 / 52 / 15
• Jason S. Arnold: 24 / 16 / 60

Read: Arnold’s low negatives + high unknowns = big upside with name‑ID growth.

Top Issues (open-coded → grouped)
• Cost of living/inflation: 34%
• Crime/public safety: 18%
• Housing/affordability: 15%
• Taxes: 12%
• Migration/services capacity: 9%
• Transit/infrastructure: 6%
• Other: 6%

Issue Ownership (net trust)
• Cost of living: Arnold +3 vs Hochul, Arnold +9 vs Stefanik
• Crime: Arnold +5 vs Hochul, Stefanik +2 vs Hochul
• Housing: Arnold +4 vs Hochul, Arnold +7 vs Stefanik

Read: The “full‑plan transparency” message gives Arnold an issues credibility edge—especially on daily-life economics & housing.

Message Tests (net more likely – less likely)
• “Full transparency: every policy & Day‑One orders published now.” +23
• “Coney Island 2.0: tourism/jobs engine (Vegas+AC without the rot).” +14 (Downstate suburbs +19)
• “Whistleblower/transparency on waste, fraud, and no‑show work.” +18
• “Education SEZ/LEZ: local control, measurable outcomes.” +12
• “Mental Health First Act & first‑responder supports.” +11

⸻

Crosstab Highlights (selected)
• Women (RV): Hochul +17 vs Stefanik; Hochul +6 vs Arnold
• Men (RV): Hochul +4 vs Stefanik; Arnold +2 vs Hochul (independents drive this)
• Hispanic voters: Hochul +25 vs Stefanik; Hochul +11 vs Arnold (Arnold competitive on cost-of-living frame)
• Black voters: Hochul dominant; Arnold overperforms Stefanik on favorables by ~6 pts (low name ID = room to grow)
• White non‑college: Stefanik leads Hochul by 6; Arnold within 4 of Stefanik with “work, wages, housing” message
• Voters rating economy “poor”: Arnold 31 | Hochul 30 | Stefanik 28 (3‑way) — transparency + concrete fixes resonate

⸻

Questionnaire (12 items, neutral wording)
1. Reg voter screen (self‑reported)
2. Party ID & 2022 vote recall
3. Fav/Unfav: Hochul, Stefanik, Jason S. Arnold
4. Most important issue (open)
5. Head‑to‑head: Hochul vs Stefanik
6. Head‑to‑head: Hochul vs Jason S. Arnold
7. 3‑way ballot: Hochul / Stefanik / Jason S. Arnold / someone else / undecided
8. Confidence in each candidate to improve cost of living (0–10 scale)
9. Confidence to improve public safety (0–10)
10. Message test A (full transparency/Day‑One orders) — more/less likely/ no diff
11. Message test B (Coney Island 2.0 jobs/tourism plan) — more/less likely/ no diff
12. Demographics: age, gender, education, region, race/ethnicity, HH income

New York Doesn’t Need More Flood Warnings — It Needs Flood Fixes

Every storm, the same message: Stay home. Be careful. Expect flooding.

But warnings don’t stop the water. Subways fill. Streets turn into rivers. Basements collapse. Lives are lost.

The truth?

New York’s flood infrastructure is decades behind, and politicians keep kicking the can down the road with press conferences instead of prevention.

⸻

Our Plan: Fix It Before It Fails
• Modern drainage systems: Upgrade 19th-century sewers, add underground retention tanks, and deploy pumping stations in low-lying neighborhoods.
• Green flood barriers: Permeable pavement, rain gardens, and bioswales to absorb stormwater where it falls.
• Smart tech monitoring: Real-time flood sensors and AI-driven modeling to predict and prevent disaster.
• Unified response: City and state agencies working together — not in silos — with full public transparency.

⸻

Read the Full Flood Prevention Plan

Ending Flood Mismanagement – Proactive Solutions for a Safer New York

https://jsa2026.com/jsa2026-nys-ending-flood-mismanagement-proactive-solutions-for-a-safer-new-york/
⸻

Join the Movement

No more excuses. No more “100-year storms” every two years.
We fix the problem now — or we keep paying the price.

#JSA2026 #NYGovernor #FloodPrevention #NYC #Infrastructure #Accountability

TO TEXAS — WITH LOVE FROM NEW YORK
Jason S. Arnold for Governor of New York
July 5, 2025

To the families hurting in Texas right now — we see you, and we grieve with you.

On a day meant for freedom and celebration, your hearts are carrying a weight that words can’t lift. Whether through disaster, tragedy, or violence — your pain echoes across every border, and into the soul of this country.

As New Yorkers, we know what it feels like to be shaken by loss.
We know what it means to hold your breath, praying your loved one is safe.
And we know what it means to feel forgotten — until the headlines fade, and the world moves on.

But we won’t move on from you.
Not today. Not tomorrow. Not ever.

We send this message not as politicians, but as fellow Americans.
As mothers, fathers, sisters, brothers — who cry when you cry, and rage when justice feels far away.

You are not alone.
Your sorrow is ours to carry.
Your strength is ours to honor.

And as long as I have a voice — and a platform like BETTR to say it without censorship — I will use it to speak truth, to call for unity, and to demand that this country start protecting people before power.

From New York to Texas — from one hurting heart to another —
We send our love.
We send our prayers.
And we send our promise to never stop fighting for a BETTR, safer, more compassionate America.

Jason S. Arnold
Candidate for Governor of New York
(516) 586-0660
www.JSA2026.com
www.BETTRSM.com

Did We Actually Hit Fordow? A Mountain of Questions Remain

June 29, 2025 | BETTR Defense Watch
Contact: (516) 586-0660 | BETTR.community
“I’m not a good candidate, I’m the right one.”

⸻

The Headlines Say We Struck Iran’s Fordow Nuclear Site.

But what really happened?

According to DOD reports, the U.S. dropped 14 GBU-57A/B “bunker-busters” on Fordow and other Iranian nuclear sites. These bombs are enormous—each weighing 30,000 lbs with an explosive payload of 2.65 tons of TNT.

That’s 37 total tons of explosive force dropped on one of the most secure nuclear facilities on Earth.

Sounds huge… right?

⸻

Let’s Put That In Perspective:

Project
TNT/Explosive Used
Purpose

Mount Rushmore
~450,000 tons (dynamite)
To carve 4 faces into granite

Hoover Dam
~4,250 tons (dynamite)
To clear tunnels & foundations

Fordow Strike
37 tons (MOP bombs)
To disable underground nuke site

That means we used:
▸ 1/115th of what was used on Hoover Dam
▸ 1/12,000th of what was used to carve Mount Rushmore

⸻

So What Did We Actually Hit?

Satellite images confirm some surface damage and collapsed tunnel entrances
Iran has begun repairing key shafts and backfilling blast zones
No confirmation that underground centrifuge halls were destroyed
U.S. intel sources admit it may have only set the nuclear program back by “months—not years”

⸻

Reality Check: This Was a Message, Not a Mountain-Mover

Fordow is buried under 250+ feet of reinforced rock and concrete.
The bunker-busters dropped were tactical, not transformational.
They likely disrupted access, not dismantled the program.

This wasn’t Hiroshima. It wasn’t even Hoover Dam.
It was a controlled hit on a hardened facility designed to withstand exactly this.

⸻

Our Take:

Strategic warning shot? Yes.
Mission accomplished? Not even close.

If this administration thinks that dropping a few dozen bunker busters is a serious long-term strategy to stop Iran’s nuclear push, they’re playing politics—not defense.

⸻

Stay Informed. Get BETTR.

(516) 586-0660
BETTR.community
#FordowFacts #MountainMath #BETTRDefense

“I’m not a good candidate, I’m the right one.”
— Jay Arnold, 2026 NY Gubernatorial Candidate

DAY ONE: JASON S. ARNOLD WILL BLOCK RADICAL NYC POLICIES UNDER MAYOR ZOHRAN MAMDANI

Published: June 25, 2025
Office of the JSA2026 Campaign
Contact: (516) 586-0660
JSA2026.com

⸻

If Zohran Mamdani becomes Mayor of New York City, I will not hesitate to act on Day One as Governor of New York.

That’s why I’m announcing my first official executive order — the NYC Oversight and Sovereignty Defense Directive — to protect New Yorkers from the wave of dangerous policies we’re already seeing take shape.

⸻

NYC Is Not London — And Won’t Be Under My Watch

We’ve seen what happens in cities like London when radical, out-of-touch leadership takes control:
• Speech crimes for online posts
• ESG fines crushing working-class drivers
• Public dollars funding unchecked migration policies
• Green zones and digital tracking disguised as “climate action”

That won’t happen in New York. Not on my watch.

⸻

My Executive Order Will:

Preempt harmful NYC regulations that violate the U.S. or NYS Constitution
Block city policies that use state funds to subsidize illegal immigration or climate penalties
Freeze reimbursements to city departments that push unconstitutional mandates
Launch a public reporting hotline for citizens to expose NYC government abuse
Deploy NY State Police if lawful businesses or citizens are being threatened or abandoned
Track and challenge all radical city ordinances through a real-time watchlist

⸻

If Mamdani Wins, Albany Will Become NYC’s Firewall

New York needs a Governor who’s not afraid to check the unchecked.

This executive order will restore balance between the state and its cities — and send a clear message to all mayors, agencies, and activists:
Your ideology does not override our Constitution.

⸻

Final Word

I don’t want to fight with New York City — I want to protect it.
But if its leaders attempt to turn it into a globalist experiment, I will act decisively and immediately.

On Day One, I won’t just take office.
I’ll take a stand.

⸻

Jason S. Arnold
Candidate for Governor, New York 2026
(516) 586-0660

https://jsa2026.com/day-one-executive-order-the-nyc-oversight-and-sovereignty-defense-directive/

🗳 “I’m not a good candidate — I’m the right one.”

Battle Row Parking Lot Expansion & Camper Storage Plan (Official Proposal)
JSA2026.com is LIVE with the full project. View now:
jsa2026.com/jsa2026-battle-row-parking-lot-storage-proposal

Location: Battle Row Campground, Long Island
New layout: 36 parking spaces with back row reserved for secure camper trailer storage
Rates:
• $1/day for Long Island Leisure Pass holders
• $2.50/day for non-residents
Reserved only for active campers with matching registration

This proposal brings new life to unused land at Battle Row — providing low-cost, controlled parking and passive income for the campground. Construction-ready in under 3 weeks, with signage and permits next.

Now includes:
• Final high-resolution site render
• Full cost breakdown
• Storage rental revenue plan
• Promotion strategy for the park

Read it, share it, and help make Battle Row BETTR.

#LongIsland #BattleRow #CampgroundStorage #ParkingLotProposal #JSA2026 #CommonwealthVision #BETTR #NassauCounty #RevenuePlanning #CamperLife

PRESS RELEASE: Jason S. Arnold Backs Strikes on Iranian Nuclear Sites
Posted to BETTR by JSA2026

I’m not walking this one back.

The U.S. strike on three Iranian nuclear sites was the right move—a bold act of military precision that sent a message to the world:
Iran will not get a nuclear weapon. Not on our watch.

We didn’t drop a nuke. We dropped the hammer.

Let’s be real—Iran’s nuclear program isn’t about deterrence. It’s about domination.
And since 1979, they’ve had their fingerprints on more terror attacks than any other regime on Earth.

4,500+ U.S. & allied attacks linked to Iran
$700 million annually to Hezbollah
Uranium enrichment now at 60% (just shy of weapons-grade)
$1.7 billion in pallets of cash under Obama… and for what?

All that money bought them time—not peace.
And my only question is: why didn’t Obama send bunker busters instead?

I support peace—but peace doesn’t come from weakness.
It comes from drawing a red line and meaning it.

This strike didn’t start a war.
It may have prevented one.

No nukes. No exceptions.
And if we’re the only nation on Earth willing to do what needs to be done without going nuclear—then God help us, we better lead.

Full release:
https://jsa2026.com/jsa2026-press-release-on-strikes-on-iranian-nuclear-sites/
Contact: (516) 586-0660

Jason S. Arnold
Candidate for Governor of New York
“I’m not a good candidate. I’m the right one.”

#JSA2026 #BETTRNewswire #NoNukes #Iran #ForeignPolicy #MiddleEast #EndTerror #AmericanLeadership #TurnNewYorkRed

U.S. Strikes Iranian Nuclear Sites, Trump Confirms
Former President Donald Trump has confirmed U.S. military strikes on Iranian nuclear sites, calling the operation necessary to stop Tehran’s nuclear ambitions. The international community watches closely as Iran promises a response.
#Trump #IranStrike #NuclearSites #MiddleEastCrisis #USMilitary #BETTRNewswire
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/rcna213781

Suspected Minnesota Lawmaker Assassin Vance Boelter Captured

Vance Boelter, the prime suspect in the attempted assassination of a Minnesota state lawmaker, has been taken into custody. Authorities say Boelter was armed and dangerous, but apprehended without further incident. The motive remains under investigation, and federal charges may follow.

#Minnesota #VanceBoelter #PoliticalViolence #LawmakerAttack #PublicSafety #BreakingNews

https://www.foxnews.com/us/suspected-minnesota-lawmaker-assassin-vance-boelter-captured

FBI Confirms iPhone and Android Warning — Delete These New Texts Immediately

The FBI is warning smartphone users about a dangerous wave of scam texts targeting both iPhone and Android devices. These messages appear legitimate but contain malicious links designed to steal personal data. If you’ve received any suspicious texts lately, delete them immediately and avoid clicking any unknown links.

#FBIWarning #iPhone #Android #CyberSecurity #ScamAlert #BETTR

Read more


https://www.forbes.com/sites/zakdoffman/2025/06/12/fbi-confirms-iphone-and-android-warning-delete-these-new-texts/?utm_campaign=socialflowForbesMainFB&utm_source=ForbesMainFacebook&utm_medium=social&fbclid=IwQ0xDSwK3ujFleHRuA2FlbQIxMQABHnQe_Jl6frsz2vYGAKuIPDCb6xpkX8dcr7Nh2vusbUhFhg2KqC4I3id1dhwT_aem_hhAI7eMEfH1MMFEoOQ4tOA

FAA Investigating Nassau PD’s Low-Flying Helicopter During Jones Beach Chaos

The FAA has launched an investigation into the Nassau County Police Department’s use of a low-flying helicopter amid crowd control efforts at Jones Beach. Witnesses described the chopper hovering dangerously close to beachgoers during a chaotic public event. Legal and safety questions now surround the department’s tactics.

#JonesBeach #FAAInvestigation #NassauCountyPD #PublicSafety #HelicopterTactics #BETTR

Read more
https://longisland.news12.com/faa-investigating-nassau-pds-use-of-low-flying-helicopter-during-jones-beach-chaos?fbclid=IwQ0xDSwK0JT1leHRuA2FlbQIxMQABHiBpBo7rvsw3T7fj1Jr_nHrLxoKtcjpYEHCHq2LLh-ILhDIcsVZ8BlYkAm9o_aem_CXdpKuwk0_N7NAZA3BK7lQ

Anthony Weiner Runs for NYC Council — Gets Applause on The View

In a stunning sign of just how upside-down politics has become, disgraced former Congressman Anthony Weiner is now running for New York City Council — and received applause from the audience of The View during a recent appearance.

Let’s be clear:
• Weiner served time for sending explicit messages to an underage girl.
• He resigned in disgrace from Congress.
• He was labeled a sex offender.

And yet — he’s being welcomed back with open arms while patriots are in prison for trespassing on federal property.

This is the state of New York. This is the state of our politics.
This is why JSA2026 matters.

Join the movement: https://jsa2026.com
#AnthonyWeiner #NYCPolitics #TheView #JSA2026 #TurnNewYorkRed #MAGA #DrainTheSwamp