New York State Gubernatorial — Mock Poll (Illustrative)

Field dates (mock): Aug 10–13, 2025
Sample: 1,000 registered voters (RV), mixed phone/SMS-to-web
Weighting: Region, gender, age, party ID, race/ethnicity, education, 2022 vote recall
MOE: ±3.1% (RV)
Turnout model: 2022 general baseline with modest GOP improvement in suburbs

Topline — 3‑Way Ballot (RV)
• Kathy Hochul (D) — 46%
• Elise Stefanik (R) — 32%
• Jason S. Arnold (I/Other) — 9%
• Someone else — 3%
• Undecided — 10%

Read: Mirrors typical D advantage statewide, Stefanik trails by low‑ to mid‑teens; Arnold shows early viability as the only candidate running a fully transparent plan.

Head‑to‑Head Scenarios (RV)

Hochul vs. Stefanik
• Hochul 48%
• Stefanik 35%
• Undecided 17%

Hochul vs. Jason S. Arnold
• Hochul 44%
• Arnold 38%
• Undecided 18%

Read: Arnold consolidates more independents and soft Democrats than Stefanik can, cutting the margin to single digits.

Region (3‑Way Ballot)
• NYC (approx. 31% of sample): Hochul 67 | Stefanik 15 | Arnold 6 | Und 9
• Downstate Suburbs (LI/Westchester/Rockland, 28%): Hochul 44 | Stefanik 36 | Arnold 11 | Und 7
• Upstate (41%): Stefanik 44 | Hochul 33 | Arnold 11 | Und 9

Read: Arnold’s 10–11% in suburbs & upstate is a credible early lane; growth path is independents + moderate Republicans + anti‑status‑quo Dems.

Party & Independents (3‑Way Ballot)
• Democrats: Hochul 77 | Arnold 8 | Stefanik 7 | Und 6
• Republicans: Stefanik 70 | Arnold 13 | Hochul 10 | Und 6
• Independents: Arnold 28 | Hochul 34 | Stefanik 24 | Und 12

Read: Arnold leads or competes for plurality among independents, the key to statewide viability.

Favorability (Fav/Unfav/Don’t know)
• Hochul: 45 / 49 / 6
• Stefanik: 33 / 52 / 15
• Jason S. Arnold: 24 / 16 / 60

Read: Arnold’s low negatives + high unknowns = big upside with name‑ID growth.

Top Issues (open-coded → grouped)
• Cost of living/inflation: 34%
• Crime/public safety: 18%
• Housing/affordability: 15%
• Taxes: 12%
• Migration/services capacity: 9%
• Transit/infrastructure: 6%
• Other: 6%

Issue Ownership (net trust)
• Cost of living: Arnold +3 vs Hochul, Arnold +9 vs Stefanik
• Crime: Arnold +5 vs Hochul, Stefanik +2 vs Hochul
• Housing: Arnold +4 vs Hochul, Arnold +7 vs Stefanik

Read: The “full‑plan transparency” message gives Arnold an issues credibility edge—especially on daily-life economics & housing.

Message Tests (net more likely – less likely)
• “Full transparency: every policy & Day‑One orders published now.” +23
• “Coney Island 2.0: tourism/jobs engine (Vegas+AC without the rot).” +14 (Downstate suburbs +19)
• “Whistleblower/transparency on waste, fraud, and no‑show work.” +18
• “Education SEZ/LEZ: local control, measurable outcomes.” +12
• “Mental Health First Act & first‑responder supports.” +11

⸻

Crosstab Highlights (selected)
• Women (RV): Hochul +17 vs Stefanik; Hochul +6 vs Arnold
• Men (RV): Hochul +4 vs Stefanik; Arnold +2 vs Hochul (independents drive this)
• Hispanic voters: Hochul +25 vs Stefanik; Hochul +11 vs Arnold (Arnold competitive on cost-of-living frame)
• Black voters: Hochul dominant; Arnold overperforms Stefanik on favorables by ~6 pts (low name ID = room to grow)
• White non‑college: Stefanik leads Hochul by 6; Arnold within 4 of Stefanik with “work, wages, housing” message
• Voters rating economy “poor”: Arnold 31 | Hochul 30 | Stefanik 28 (3‑way) — transparency + concrete fixes resonate

⸻

Questionnaire (12 items, neutral wording)
1. Reg voter screen (self‑reported)
2. Party ID & 2022 vote recall
3. Fav/Unfav: Hochul, Stefanik, Jason S. Arnold
4. Most important issue (open)
5. Head‑to‑head: Hochul vs Stefanik
6. Head‑to‑head: Hochul vs Jason S. Arnold
7. 3‑way ballot: Hochul / Stefanik / Jason S. Arnold / someone else / undecided
8. Confidence in each candidate to improve cost of living (0–10 scale)
9. Confidence to improve public safety (0–10)
10. Message test A (full transparency/Day‑One orders) — more/less likely/ no diff
11. Message test B (Coney Island 2.0 jobs/tourism plan) — more/less likely/ no diff
12. Demographics: age, gender, education, region, race/ethnicity, HH income

Ending Sanctuary Cities in New York: Why It’s Wrong, Illegal — and How We’ll Stop It

Sanctuary city policies aren’t compassion — they’re chaos. They defy federal law (8 U.S.C. § 1373), protect criminals from deportation, and cost New Yorkers billions every year. NYC alone spent $4.6 billion in 2023 sheltering undocumented migrants — money that should’ve gone to schools, safety, and infrastructure.

As Governor, Jason S. Arnold will:
• Ban sanctuary policies statewide — tie compliance to state funding.
• Mandate full cooperation with ICE — stop releasing violent offenders.
• Launch a Governor’s Task Force — audit, enforce, and publish results.
• Put public safety first — protect families, respect the law.

New York must be a sanctuary for citizens and legal immigrants — not lawlessness.

Full plan here: https://jsa2026.com

#JSA2026 #NYGovernor #SanctuaryCities #PublicSafety #RuleOfLaw

New York Doesn’t Need More Flood Warnings — It Needs Flood Fixes

Every storm, the same message: Stay home. Be careful. Expect flooding.

But warnings don’t stop the water. Subways fill. Streets turn into rivers. Basements collapse. Lives are lost.

The truth?

New York’s flood infrastructure is decades behind, and politicians keep kicking the can down the road with press conferences instead of prevention.

⸻

Our Plan: Fix It Before It Fails
• Modern drainage systems: Upgrade 19th-century sewers, add underground retention tanks, and deploy pumping stations in low-lying neighborhoods.
• Green flood barriers: Permeable pavement, rain gardens, and bioswales to absorb stormwater where it falls.
• Smart tech monitoring: Real-time flood sensors and AI-driven modeling to predict and prevent disaster.
• Unified response: City and state agencies working together — not in silos — with full public transparency.

⸻

Read the Full Flood Prevention Plan

Ending Flood Mismanagement – Proactive Solutions for a Safer New York

https://jsa2026.com/jsa2026-nys-ending-flood-mismanagement-proactive-solutions-for-a-safer-new-york/
⸻

Join the Movement

No more excuses. No more “100-year storms” every two years.
We fix the problem now — or we keep paying the price.

#JSA2026 #NYGovernor #FloodPrevention #NYC #Infrastructure #Accountability

Texas Flooding Disaster: At Least 104 Dead, Rescue Efforts Ongoing

Devastating flooding in Texas has claimed the lives of at least 104 people, with search and rescue teams continuing to comb through submerged areas in hopes of finding survivors. Entire communities remain underwater, and the full scale of destruction is still unfolding.

Authorities report that hundreds are missing, and infrastructure failures are complicating relief efforts. This is one of the deadliest flood events in modern Texas history.

Our thoughts are with every family affected. But this is more than a weather event—it’s a national infrastructure failure, and the consequences are deadly.

When will we stop reacting late and start preparing early?

Failed zoning
Aging dams and drainage
Disconnected disaster response
Urban sprawl without rural readiness

America must treat infrastructure like life support—not a political talking point.

Full coverage: https://www.cnn.com/2025/07/08/us/texas-flooding-deaths-survivors/index.html
(Note: Replace with preferred source if desired)

#TexasFlood #DisasterResponse #InfrastructureCrisis #JSA2026 #BETTRNewswire #RescueTexas #ClimatePreparedness


https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/live-blog/rcna217165

Experts Reveal Potential Strike Targets of Iranian Sleeper Agents in the U.S.
National security analysts warn that Iranian sleeper cells may already be embedded across the U.S.—with synagogues, energy infrastructure, and high-profile political events flagged as likely targets. As tensions escalate abroad, domestic vigilance is rising fast.
#IranSleeperCells #HomelandSecurity #TerrorThreat #NationalSecurity #BETTRNews
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14842529/iranian-sleeper-cells-prime-target-strike-us.html?ito=social-facebook&fbclid=IwQ0xDSwLKtJhleHRuA2FlbQIxMQABHuuNaDK5nMDekaoXxhlxpeoe7iVCdHuC6_xBaK39TmituzrhP4pTmq6A21DG_aem_H8BDSzSjKHmOI_fjM0KHgQ

Scientists Watch Metal Heal Itself—And They Can’t Explain It
In a discovery that defies current understanding, researchers observed microscopic cracks in metal close on their own—without human or mechanical intervention. The phenomenon could revolutionize how we build aircraft, infrastructure, and even spacecraft, but for now, scientists admit: “We don’t know how it happened.”
#MetalHealing #SelfRepairingMaterials #ScienceBreakthrough #BETTRNews #NanoTech
https://www.vice.com/en/article/scientists-just-watched-metal-heal-itself-and-they-cant-explain-how/?fbclid=IwQ0xDSwLG-ZZleHRuA2FlbQIxMQABHh_L3y5YlWSWj2hjxKXqr15KOKWw-EGPixfZaLD1X54fpMrKg5rR3NX-wUwR_aem_3k7ZhriY5mxwR_dF7QoZnA

A BETTR Way Forward for New York
Big Tech silenced us. The media ignored us. The system bet against us. But here we are—louder, smarter, and building our own platform.

BETTR isn’t just a site—it’s a movement. A place where the people lead, the truth survives, and voices rise without fear of cancellation.

If you're tired of censorship, corruption, and fake leadership, join the only campaign building its own communication infrastructure. BETTR is powered by you—the people they can’t control.

Let them have their platforms.
We’ll build our own.

https://jsa2026.com/%f0%9f%8f%a1-jsa2026-policy-spotlight-end-property-tax-slavery-in-new-york/
Contact: (516) 586-0660

Jason S. Arnold for Governor of New York – 2026
“I’m not a good candidate. I’m the right one.”

#JSA2026 #TurnNewYorkRed #BETTRMovement #FreeSpeech #EndCensorship #MAGA #PurpleRevolution #NewYorkDeservesBETTR

Internet Outage: Google, Spotify, Discord and More Recover from Major Disruptions

A widespread internet disruption briefly knocked out access to major platforms including Google, Spotify, and Discord. Services are now recovering, but the incident highlights growing concerns about digital infrastructure vulnerabilities. No cause has been officially confirmed yet.

#TechNews #InternetOutage #Google #Spotify #Discord #DigitalInfrastructure #BETTR

Read more
https://www.forbes.com/sites/antoniopequenoiv/2025/06/12/major-websites-experience-technical-issues-amid-widespread-internet-outage/?utm_medium=social&utm_source=ForbesMainFacebook&utm_campaign=socialflowForbesMainFB&fbclid=IwQ0xDSwK4STdleHRuA2FlbQIxMQABHv-bUQdpVVCbxeAZtKRjvaEcU1GZDGlulziBAyqNyAz2lk_-1kpGYI9CLlvX_aem_XesuR4yKUxwrrzinpsUPYg

BREAKING: Trump Deploys National Guard to Los Angeles as Immigration Protests Escalate

President Trump has ordered the National Guard into Los Angeles in response to massive immigration protests erupting across the city. The protests, reportedly triggered by newly enforced deportation orders and sanctuary city funding cuts, have gridlocked major intersections, disrupted public transport, and prompted threats against ICE personnel.

What We Know So Far:
Crowds in the thousands have taken over parts of downtown L.A.

Multiple clashes with law enforcement reported—tear gas and riot control units deployed.

Protesters oppose Trump’s push to strip sanctuary cities of federal aid and ramp up ICE raids on non-citizens with prior deportation orders.

National Guard units are being deployed to support local police and secure infrastructure.

BETTR Breakdown:
This is the clash we’ve been warning about—when local resistance meets federal authority head-on.

Sanctuary city policies are shielding lawbreakers—not “immigrants.”

Trump isn’t targeting immigrants—he’s enforcing existing laws on deportation absconders and repeat offenders.

When cities block federal enforcement, crisis is inevitable—and order must be restored.

BETTR Calls for:
A national vote on sanctuary policies
Mandatory deportation for violent non-citizens
Full ICE and Border Patrol funding
DOJ review of localities that obstruct federal law

We either have a nation—or we don’t.
The Constitution doesn’t vanish at a city line.

Track every update and join the conversation: https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/trump-presidency-news-06-07-25
#ImmigrationProtests #NationalGuard #LosAngeles #SanctuaryCities #Trump2024 #LawAndOrder #BETTR #JSA2026 #TurnNYRed

California Shaken by 3.3 Magnitude Earthquake
A 3.3 magnitude quake rattled parts of California today—no major damage reported, but residents felt the jolt.
It’s another reminder: infrastructure, not ideology, keeps us standing.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-14758519/California-rocked-earthquake-felt-100-miles.html?ito=social-facebook&fbclid=IwZXh0bgNhZW0CMTEAAR7D6Fxw65x3_bc753AGhJG64JtPUGt-LJASjI4yes2aQavG091MzV2p1aTqTA_aem_06c4f7xSF_oiaKJSUxDW-A#

#Earthquake #California #DisasterPreparedness #InfrastructureMatters #jsa2026 #BETTR #ResilientAmerica

JSA2026 Campaign Messaging: Why Jason S. Arnold Is Ready to Lead
“I’m not a good candidate. I’m the right one.”

Jason S. Arnold isn’t your typical politician—and that’s exactly why he’s the right man to lead New York forward.

He’s been at the bottom, not just seen it from a distance. From sleeping on the streets to building his own tech platform, from incarceration to entrepreneurship, Jason has lived the struggles that career politicians read about in memos. He didn’t inherit power—he earned perspective.

Transferrable Skills in Action
Crisis Management
He’s made life-or-death decisions with no safety net. Imagine what he’ll do with a full staff, a budget, and the people of New York behind him.

Entrepreneurial Grit
Jason launched the BETTR social platform with no corporate backing, built campaign infrastructure from scratch, and ran a business out of a garage. That’s not just experience—it’s execution.

Reform Expertise from Lived Experience
Most candidates guess at what’s wrong. Jason’s lived it—family court failures, prison reform gaps, education bureaucracy, and mental health neglect. His policies aren’t theories—they’re blueprints from someone who’s been through the fire.

Blue-Collar Roots, High-Tech Vision
Construction, restaurants, film, retail, mechanics—you name it, he’s worked it. But he’s also coded sites, launched ecommerce, and managed digital campaigns. He’s not just crossing party lines—he’s crossing worlds.

Communication That Cuts Through
Jason doesn’t read off scripts—he speaks from experience. His podcast, livestreams, and social posts reach people because they’re real, not rehearsed. That’s the kind of voice Albany needs.

Closing Message
If you want polished, practiced politics, keep what you’ve got.
If you want results from someone who’s had to fight for everything,
vote Jason S. Arnold for Governor of New York.

From prison to pavement to the people’s platform.
This is for all of us still fighting.

JSA2026.com
(516) 586-0660
jaysarnold@icloud.com
Social: @jaynation4547 on all platforms jaysarnold79 X
jsa2026.com

Trump’s Middle East Trip: Major Deals Signed Across Energy, Defense & Tech
Former President Donald Trump’s latest diplomatic visit to the Middle East included a flurry of high-level agreements spanning energy cooperation, arms sales, infrastructure investment, and tech partnerships.

Key takeaways from the trip:
• Multi-billion dollar defense and energy contracts
• Regional investment pledges from Gulf nations
• Strategic tech and telecom alliances with U.S. firms
• A growing pivot away from China and toward Western markets

While critics question the long-term impact, supporters say this is a bold step in reasserting American influence in the region.

#Trump #MiddleEast #Geopolitics #AmericaFirst #Diplomacy #Oil #Defense #JSA2026 #BETTRNews
https://www.forbes.com/sites/saradorn/2025/05/15/us-will-build-massive-ai-data-center-in-abu-dhabi-see-the-list-of-deals-trump-announced-in-the-middle-east/?utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=socialflowForbesMainFB&utm_source=ForbesMainFacebook&fbclid=IwZXh0bgNhZW0CMTEAAR6iKsMLuHwE8kNtET5E0vfNYgrOwlLo9o7zlpG5YJm-hbnWtxxhzIOmlACOlA_aem_uKm9irYXJt_TZ9BlxGbnaw