New York State Gubernatorial — Mock Poll (Illustrative)

Field dates (mock): Aug 10–13, 2025
Sample: 1,000 registered voters (RV), mixed phone/SMS-to-web
Weighting: Region, gender, age, party ID, race/ethnicity, education, 2022 vote recall
MOE: ±3.1% (RV)
Turnout model: 2022 general baseline with modest GOP improvement in suburbs

Topline — 3‑Way Ballot (RV)
• Kathy Hochul (D) — 46%
• Elise Stefanik (R) — 32%
• Jason S. Arnold (I/Other) — 9%
• Someone else — 3%
• Undecided — 10%

Read: Mirrors typical D advantage statewide, Stefanik trails by low‑ to mid‑teens; Arnold shows early viability as the only candidate running a fully transparent plan.

Head‑to‑Head Scenarios (RV)

Hochul vs. Stefanik
• Hochul 48%
• Stefanik 35%
• Undecided 17%

Hochul vs. Jason S. Arnold
• Hochul 44%
• Arnold 38%
• Undecided 18%

Read: Arnold consolidates more independents and soft Democrats than Stefanik can, cutting the margin to single digits.

Region (3‑Way Ballot)
• NYC (approx. 31% of sample): Hochul 67 | Stefanik 15 | Arnold 6 | Und 9
• Downstate Suburbs (LI/Westchester/Rockland, 28%): Hochul 44 | Stefanik 36 | Arnold 11 | Und 7
• Upstate (41%): Stefanik 44 | Hochul 33 | Arnold 11 | Und 9

Read: Arnold’s 10–11% in suburbs & upstate is a credible early lane; growth path is independents + moderate Republicans + anti‑status‑quo Dems.

Party & Independents (3‑Way Ballot)
• Democrats: Hochul 77 | Arnold 8 | Stefanik 7 | Und 6
• Republicans: Stefanik 70 | Arnold 13 | Hochul 10 | Und 6
• Independents: Arnold 28 | Hochul 34 | Stefanik 24 | Und 12

Read: Arnold leads or competes for plurality among independents, the key to statewide viability.

Favorability (Fav/Unfav/Don’t know)
• Hochul: 45 / 49 / 6
• Stefanik: 33 / 52 / 15
• Jason S. Arnold: 24 / 16 / 60

Read: Arnold’s low negatives + high unknowns = big upside with name‑ID growth.

Top Issues (open-coded → grouped)
• Cost of living/inflation: 34%
• Crime/public safety: 18%
• Housing/affordability: 15%
• Taxes: 12%
• Migration/services capacity: 9%
• Transit/infrastructure: 6%
• Other: 6%

Issue Ownership (net trust)
• Cost of living: Arnold +3 vs Hochul, Arnold +9 vs Stefanik
• Crime: Arnold +5 vs Hochul, Stefanik +2 vs Hochul
• Housing: Arnold +4 vs Hochul, Arnold +7 vs Stefanik

Read: The “full‑plan transparency” message gives Arnold an issues credibility edge—especially on daily-life economics & housing.

Message Tests (net more likely – less likely)
• “Full transparency: every policy & Day‑One orders published now.” +23
• “Coney Island 2.0: tourism/jobs engine (Vegas+AC without the rot).” +14 (Downstate suburbs +19)
• “Whistleblower/transparency on waste, fraud, and no‑show work.” +18
• “Education SEZ/LEZ: local control, measurable outcomes.” +12
• “Mental Health First Act & first‑responder supports.” +11

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Crosstab Highlights (selected)
• Women (RV): Hochul +17 vs Stefanik; Hochul +6 vs Arnold
• Men (RV): Hochul +4 vs Stefanik; Arnold +2 vs Hochul (independents drive this)
• Hispanic voters: Hochul +25 vs Stefanik; Hochul +11 vs Arnold (Arnold competitive on cost-of-living frame)
• Black voters: Hochul dominant; Arnold overperforms Stefanik on favorables by ~6 pts (low name ID = room to grow)
• White non‑college: Stefanik leads Hochul by 6; Arnold within 4 of Stefanik with “work, wages, housing” message
• Voters rating economy “poor”: Arnold 31 | Hochul 30 | Stefanik 28 (3‑way) — transparency + concrete fixes resonate

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Questionnaire (12 items, neutral wording)
1. Reg voter screen (self‑reported)
2. Party ID & 2022 vote recall
3. Fav/Unfav: Hochul, Stefanik, Jason S. Arnold
4. Most important issue (open)
5. Head‑to‑head: Hochul vs Stefanik
6. Head‑to‑head: Hochul vs Jason S. Arnold
7. 3‑way ballot: Hochul / Stefanik / Jason S. Arnold / someone else / undecided
8. Confidence in each candidate to improve cost of living (0–10 scale)
9. Confidence to improve public safety (0–10)
10. Message test A (full transparency/Day‑One orders) — more/less likely/ no diff
11. Message test B (Coney Island 2.0 jobs/tourism plan) — more/less likely/ no diff
12. Demographics: age, gender, education, region, race/ethnicity, HH income

Tired of Fare Hikes and Government Waste? New York Deserves Better.

Every year, New Yorkers pay more for transit while getting less in return. Another MTA fare hike is coming — and still, we see crews standing around, projects years behind schedule, and billions lost to mismanagement.

It’s not just the MTA — it’s government at every level. From entry‑level workers to the Governor’s office, no one should be above accountability — including me.

That’s why we’re launching the Watchdog New York Whistleblower Program:
• See waste or abuse? Document it.
• Photos, videos, location, and time — the more detail, the better.
• Help us build an evidence-backed case for reform that ends corruption and restores trust.

Our plan to fix the MTA goes further — distance-based fares, full audits, and real rider representation so short trips cost less, waste is eliminated, and the system finally works for New Yorkers, not insiders.

Read the full plan here:
Fixing New York’s MTA – Fair Fares, Honest Management, and Better Transit for All
https://jsa2026.com/jsa2026-nys-fixing-new-yorks-mta-fair-fares-honest-management-and-better-transit-for-all/
⸻

Join the Movement

If you’re tired of paying more for broken systems, stand with us. Together, we’ll hold everyone — even the Governor — accountable.

#JSA2026 #NYGovernor #MTA #Whistleblower #Accountability #FairFares #TransitReform

JSA2026 Animal Welfare & Wildlife Protection Act
“Because compassion is strength.”

As Governor of New York, I will make it clear that protecting animals isn’t just the right thing to do—it’s a core value of leadership. The abuse, neglect, or weaponization of wildlife law against compassionate citizens ends under my administration.

1. Permanent Criminal Penalties for Animal Abuse or Neglect
Felony charges for any intentional abuse or fatal neglect of a domestic or wild animal

Mandatory restitution to shelters, rescuers, or state agencies involved in recovery or care

Lifetime ban from owning or harboring any animal for those convicted

Animal Abuse Registry to publicly identify repeat offenders and ban them from rescue/foster jobs or adoptions statewide

2. State Prohibition on Seizing Wildlife Cared for by Humans
New York will end the practice of state or local wildlife agencies confiscating and euthanizing animals who would not survive without human aid

Citizens who raise, protect, or rehabilitate wild or endangered animals out of necessity or compassion will be protected—not prosecuted

The state will partner with ethical rescue networks to ensure proper care without bureaucracy

3. Arson and Animal Deaths
In cases where animals die in suspicious fires or man-made disasters, immediate joint investigations between fire, animal welfare, and criminal units will be mandated

If abuse or intentional neglect is found, manslaughter charges will be considered

Survivors and rescuers will receive state-funded veterinary support

4. Whistleblower Protection for Animal Abuse Reports
Anonymous reporting line via the JSA2026 Whistleblower Reform Network

Monetary rewards up to $2,500 for tips that lead to felony charges or rescue operations

Reports of systemic abuse (shelters, agencies, kennels) will trigger mandatory audits and public review

5. Community Animal Rescue Fund (CARF)
Launch of a state-backed fund to:

Assist small animal rescues and sanctuaries

Subsidize low-cost veterinary care in underserved areas

Provide emergency grants during disasters (e.g., fires, floods, winter blackouts)

6. State Land for Animal Sanctuaries
The JSA2026 administration will dedicate state-owned land to create a permanent sanctuary network for animals who cannot be adopted due to trauma, injury, or special needs

These sanctuaries will be non-kill zones, operated by trained caregivers and supported by the state

No animal will be euthanized due to inconvenience, lack of resources, or political indifference

We will give them peace—because God would have my head if I ended a life He gave without doing everything I could to protect it

Final Word from Jason S. Arnold:
"If you abuse an animal under my watch, you’ll face consequences so swift and so unforgiving, you’ll wish New York had the death penalty.

We don’t—so you’ll just live a long, exposed life of being held accountable.

But I will never allow a single soul—animal or human—to be discarded because they’re inconvenient.

Because compassion is strength.
And I fear God too much to take a life He still intends to use."

Campaign HQ: (516) 586-0660
Learn More: https://jsa2026.com
JSA2026 – The Compassionate Commonwealth

A BETTR Way to Blow the Whistle
Under my leadership as Governor of New York, we’ll launch statewide anonymous whistleblower lines to expose corruption, animal cruelty, CPS abuse, and more.

Real rewards up to $25K
Penalties for false claims
Public dashboards for transparency
Independent civilian oversight

Truth-tellers will no longer be silenced—and manipulators will be held accountable. This isn’t a promise. It’s policy.

Full Plan:
https://jsa2026.com/jsa2026-nys-whistleblower-reform-act/

Contact: (516) 586-0660
#JSA2026 #WhistleblowerReform #NYGovernor #CommonwealthJustice #BETTRNY

NIH Shuts Down Lab Accused of Slaughtering Beagles for 40 Years

In a long-overdue move, the National Institutes of Health (NIH) has closed a notorious research lab accused of decades of cruel experiments on beagles. Whistleblowers and watchdog groups allege the facility bred, drugged, and dissected dogs—often with minimal oversight or justification.

Animal rights advocates are calling it a victory—but demanding full transparency and accountability.

#NIH #AnimalTesting #BeagleAbuse #LabShutdown #AnimalRights #BETTRNews
https://www.aol.com/nih-shutters-notorious-lab-accused-213635678.html